For the five major European leagues, SlipsIQ simulates the remainder of the season 100,000 times. Per team you see the probability of winning the title, qualifying for the Champions League or Europa League, and relegation.
How does the simulation work?
The model takes the current table and simulates all remaining matches based on team strengths (Monte Carlo). Each simulation produces a final table; across 100,000 simulations this yields a probability distribution over final positions per team.
Probabilities are based on models, not a guarantee of the outcome.
Title contenders
At the top are the teams with the highest probability of winning the league, showing per team the title and Champions League qualification probabilities.
The table with probability zones
The full table shows each team's probabilities per outcome:
Probability of winning the league.
Probability of Champions League qualification.
Probability of Europa League qualification.
Probability of relegation.
The coloured zones in the table mark the spots for the Champions League, Europa League and relegation.
The five leagues
Frequently asked questions
After every matchday the simulations are re-run with the current table and results.
As long as there are matches left to play, there are simulations in which the chasers overtake the leader. The probability grows as the season progresses and the lead increases.
The technique (Monte Carlo) is the same, but the league simulations run on club data across a full season instead of a tournament format.